‘Spotting Mega Historical Shifts’
Hmm. Lots to think about in this book.
It was written over two decades ago, trying to forecast where things would be or at least the direction in which they were heading. It got some things wrong but it got lots right too. The talk of cryptographic payments and identities seems quite prophetic.
We have seen a weakening of the nation state, but I felt it was in more danger in the late 90s when this book was written than now. Although some individual states do seem in decline, others seem to be rising to prominence to take their place. Maybe devolution, federalism and subsidiarity will take over but the last couple of years has seen centralisation come to the fore again. But history doesn’t move in a straight line.
There’s plenty to disagree with too. Not just the things it missed or the things it got wrong, some of the attitude seems to miss the mark too, particularly when it comes to morality. But maybe that’s just me.